Scenario Modeling

Identifying key factors of external instability, including sanctions, regulatory reforms, geopolitical shifts, technological transformations, and macroeconomic imbalances.

Uncertainty Drivers

01

Developing baseline, favorable and stress scenarios on a three-to-ten year timeline, with regular updates in response to the evolving environment.

Scenario Pathways

02

Incorporating client's business model into each scenario with respect to industry specifics, company’s geographic footprint and strategic priorities.

Integrating Company into Scenarios

03

Comparative scenario analysis assessing the likelihood and potential impact on strategy and operational model.

Assessment of Scenario Probability

04

Identifying vulnerabilities, thresholds, and failure points that could result in significant losses or strategic disruptions.

Critical Thresholds

05

Developing a set of strategic and managerial actions designed to mitigate damage and enhance adaptability

Preventive Measures

07

Preparation of tailored scenario models and analytical materials to meet client’s specific strategic, investment, and regulatory objectives.

Generation of Analytical Reports and Studies

08

We help companies be prepared to face uncertainty and manage consequences of external changes

Key modules

Scenario modeling allows moving beyond linear forecasts to take into account multiple potential vectors of environment dynamics. This approach integrates expert analytics and quantitative methods with strategic interpretation to support managerial decision-making.

Our projects begin where businesses face situations requiring in-depth analysis, balanced positioning and thorough insight into the external dynamics.

When companies come to us

Common requests

A company is developing a multi-year strategy and needs an assessment of alternative scenarios for the external environment.

Long-Term Planning

01

Anticipated political or economic upheavals, regulatory changes require the strategy to be stress-tested and the company to be prepared for swift decision-making.

Crisis Preparedness

02

A business is reviewing its development model, investment priorities, or geographic footprint amid high uncertainty.

Strategic Transformation

03

Being sensitive to government actions, a company requires assessment of potential regulatory changes and their implications.

Regulatory Dependence

04

We advise clients across a wide range of sectors — from energy and pharmaceuticals to IT and e-commerce

industry focus

We understand the specific dynamics of each industry and develop government engagement strategies tailored to its regulatory and market environment.

Unmanned Systems

Perfumery & Cosmeceuticals

Pharma, Medical goods, Supplements

Healthcare &
Insurance

Energy, Oil & Gas, Petrochemicals (Fuel & Energy Sector)

Commerce (retail, wholesale,
e-com)

Tobacco & Alcohol

IT, Telecom & Information Security

Construction &
Real Estate

FinTech & Banking

Automotive & Machinery Manufacturing

Public Sector

Creative Economy

Food & Agriculture

International Relations & Security

Climate & Ecology

Platform Economy (marketplaces, classified platforms, aggregators, etc.)

Metallurgy & Mining

Мы совмещаем правовую и отраслевую экспертизу
с глубоким пониманием механизмов принятия решений органами власти. Такой подход позволяет нам трансформировать данные в практические решения и обеспечивать клиентам долгосрочное преимущество.

Let's discuss your challenge

МИССИЯ И ЦЕННОСТИ

О КОМПАНИИ

SUBMIT A REQUEST

We form a dedicated project team and build an efficient set-up to address your specific request.

Relevant articles, studies, comments, and reviews

media

We share analytics that help businesses gain an insight into the evolving global context and make the right decisions.